The United States grew half of what was expected in the last quarter of 2025 due to tariffs and the government shutdown
The US economy grew by only 0.7% in the fourth quarter of 2025, significantly lower than the expected 1.4%, impacted by tariffs and a government shutdown.
In the final quarter of 2025, the US economy grew by just 0.7%, which is half of the 1.4% growth projected by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). This downturn in economic activity has resulted in a downward revision of the annual GDP growth rate for the past year, adjusting it to 2.1%. Such figures are critical as they reflect the economic performance under the administration of Donald Trump compared to his predecessor, Joe Biden.
The data indicates a substantial slowing down of the US economy at the end of last year, highlighting the impact of government actions such as tariffs and the government shutdown. Under Biden’s leadership in 2024, the economy experienced a stronger growth rate of 2.8%, contrasting sharply with the growth on Trump's initial year of his second term. This paints a larger picture of how economic policies and external factors can shape economic outcomes over different administrations.
With the latest GDP figures, analysts are drawing comparisons between the economic approaches of the two administrations. The challenges faced in 2025 can be used to fuel debates around the effectiveness of tariffs on economic growth and governance stability, alongside discussions on the future economic strategies that may be necessary for the United States to regain momentum and foster sustainable growth moving forward.