Mar 13 • 08:11 UTC 🇶🇦 Qatar Al Jazeera

What will Israel do if the United States leaves it alone in the war against Iran?

Israel is preparing to adjust its military plans in anticipation of a possible U.S. withdrawal from the conflict with Iran, while aiming to retain independent military decision-making capacity.

Israel is taking proactive measures to reassess its military strategies in light of the potential withdrawal of American support in the ongoing war with Iran. This development comes as reports indicate internal conflicts within the Trump administration regarding the timeline and manner of claiming victory in this complex conflict, particularly as the situation continues to escalate. Despite a reluctance to withdraw, discussions among White House aides suggest varying opinions on how to present any eventual resolution, aiming for a narrative of success even amidst remaining Iranian leadership.

Expert opinions, such as those from Nihad Abu Ghosh, emphasize that while the likelihood of an American withdrawal from the war may not be significant, Israel is bracing itself for all eventualities. Abu Ghosh underscores that Tel Aviv will likely adhere to U.S. directions on the Iranian front. Still, it is preparing to exercise considerable autonomy regarding its operations against Hezbollah in Lebanon. This allows Israel to strategize independently while remaining in alignment with U.S. military objectives in the broader context of the Iran conflict.

The implications of these preparations could be profound, as a unilateral Israeli military maneuver in Lebanon might provoke further regional tensions. The balance of power in the Middle East is fragile, and Israel's adjustments could lead to an escalation of hostilities, potentially drawn into a larger conflict. Maintaining a degree of independence while still aligned with U.S. interests reflects Israel's commitment to its national security, amid uncertain support from its primary ally.

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