Claudia Sheinbaum, the President of Mexico, has experienced four notable stages of popularity since she assumed office a year and a half ago, marking a quarter of her term. Initially, in the first three months from October to December 2024, she enjoyed a high approval rating of 72%, reflective of the aftermath of the electoral process. This period showed a stark division among partisan groups, likely due to the lingering effects of the previous elections.

As she entered her honeymoon phase beginning January 2025 lasting until April, her approval ratings soared past 80%. This surge was marked by widespread support from even opposition groups, indicating a moment of unity and positive reception among the populace towards her early initiatives and governance style. However, this high level of approval was not sustained.

From May to August, Sheinbaum's popularity began to wane, dropping below the 80% mark while still retaining considerable backing from both her supporters in the Morena party and some opposition groups. The decline in her approval ratings appears to be influenced by a growing disenchantment among independent voters, suggesting potential challenges that may lie ahead as she seeks to maintain her support as political situations evolve in the country.