Mar 10 • 15:56 UTC 🇧🇷 Brazil Folha (PT)

Brazil is among the least vulnerable emerging countries to the oil crisis, says bank

A UBS report indicates Brazil's resilience to the current energy crisis, ranking it as one of the least vulnerable emerging economies.

A report released by UBS has identified Brazil as one of the least vulnerable emerging countries to the current energy crisis, which has seen oil prices surge above $100 a barrel following the military actions by the U.S. and Israel against Iran. The report's assessment is based on Brazil's self-sufficiency in oil production and reduced dependence on fossil fuels for energy generation, positioning the country as being 'better insulated' compared to many of its emerging counterparts.

The analysis included the creation of a vulnerability index by a team of 12 analysts globally, which evaluates factors such as the significance of oil in the energy matrix, the trade balance in the oil and gas sector, fiscal vulnerabilities, inflation susceptibility, and the sensitivity of GDP to oil prices, among other indicators. This comprehensive approach provides insights into Brazil's economic stability amid global fluctuations in energy costs.

In the ranking of 20 emerging nations from various continents, Brazil stands out in seventh place for its resilience against oil price shocks, with Poland, Turkey, and South Korea cited as the most vulnerable countries, while the Czech Republic and Malaysia are noted as the least vulnerable. This information serves as a critical reminder of how emerging market dynamics and energy dependencies can influence national economic health.

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