In a recent tweet, former U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken highlighted two critical factors that will shape the resolution of the conflict with Iran: market conditions and military stocks. Blinken emphasized that the trajectory of global oil, stock, and bond markets will play a significant role in influencing the direction of the conflict. He pointed out that President Donald Trump is keenly aware of these market indicators and their impact on policy decisions.

Moreover, Blinken discussed the military aspect, illustrating a race to see which side depletes its arsenal of missiles first, including defensive interception systems and offensive missiles aimed at launching platforms. He suggested that the outcome of this race will be pivotal in determining both the course and conclusion of the confrontation, indicating the urgency of resource management in such conflicts.

Lastly, Blinken did not rule out a scenario where the conflict might culminate in a political declaration of "victory" that could involve a mere change of leadership rather than substantive changes to the Islamic Republic's regime. This perspective implies that the complexities of geopolitical negotiations could lead to superficial changes rather than meaningful reforms, leaving the core issues of the conflict unresolved.