A newly classified report from the US National Security Council indicates that a widespread conflict is not expected to lead to the downfall of the Iranian regime. Drawing on insights from three informed sources, the report was completed approximately one week before the onset of the Israeli-American offensive. Scenarios outlined in the report include contingencies for regime change in Iran, highlighting that if Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei were to be killed, regime officials would likely follow predetermined procedures to replace him, aiming to preserve the status of the Ayatollahs in the country.

In an associated development, three sources informed Reuters that Israel has conducted airstrikes in western Iran to assist Iranian Kurdish militias in their efforts to seize territory near the border. According to reports, these militias are consulting with the US on potential strategies to attack Iranian security forces. Notably, thousands of militia fighters are reportedly gathering on the Iraqi side of the border, with preparations underway to launch an offensive into Iran within a week; however, Reuters was unable to independently verify this claim.

Additionally, two Kurdish sources disclosed that Israel has held discussions over the past year with forces in Iraqi Kurdistan. In contrast, an Israeli source elaborated that those talks occurred over an extended timeframe, emphasizing the complex dynamics at play in the region. As the situation develops, the interconnections between US, Israeli, and Kurdish interests in Iran may significantly influence the broader geopolitical landscape.