Experts Annika Arras and Martin Mölder have pointed out that President Alar Karis's significant support among the populace places the Reform Party in a precarious position. They note that criticism and support for Karis carry inherent risks for the party, especially because a large majority of the citizens across various political affiliations, including supporters of the opposition EKRE party, back Karis's continuation in office. This cross-appeal complicates the Reform Party's political landscape, as their decisions will be closely scrutinized by the electorate.

Mölder emphasized that while the Reform Party and Estonia 200 might not desire Karis's reelection, the overwhelming backing from their own voter base for Karis complicates their stance. He elaborated that the political climate is fraught with potential repercussions: if Reform refuses to back Karis, it risks alienating its supporters who favor the president, while supporting him could lead to friction within its own ranks. This duality reflects broader tensions in Estonian politics as various parties navigate the implications of public opinion on leadership choices.

The situation highlights a critical juncture for the Reform Party as they balance their political ambitions against the reality of public sentiment. Given the high stakes of the upcoming presidential election, decisions surrounding support for Karis will be pivotal, influencing not only the party's future but also the broader political landscape in Estonia.