In the latest report from the Global Financial Center, released on March 6, the top global risk is evaluated as the adjustment of risk asset prices, characterized by very high likelihood and impact. Following this, concerns regarding an AI investment bubble, the worsening situation in the Middle East, and geopolitical risks stemming from former President Trump's policies rank second to fourth respectively. This analysis reflects a growing market anxiety surrounding potential overvaluation in AI investments and expanding geopolitical interventions in South America and Greenland by the U.S.

The report indicates that increasing pressures on the prices of global risk assets are driven largely by the rising tensions in the Middle East, particularly in light of the ongoing conflict in Iran and fluctuating oil prices. Public interest in these issues has surged, as evidenced by rising search volumes for terms related to the Middle East crisis. The report highlights the potential for significant disruptions in oil production and transportation, further exacerbated by the involvement of other countries or prolonged conflict, amplifying the risk associated with an already volatile market.

In the ranking of global risks, issues such as long-term high interest rates in developed nations, Trump's tariff policies, and uncertainties about the Federal Reserve's monetary policy were also addressed. The Center warns that sustained high global interest rates could lead to supply-side inflation in the event of a worsening crisis in the Middle East, potentially forcing governments in major economies to significantly increase bond issuance to finance energy expansion and maintain social stability, which could in turn exacerbate supply-demand imbalances in the bond market.