Why has the momentum of Iranian missiles towards Israel decreased recently?
Recent analysis indicates a tactical decrease in the launch of Iranian missiles towards Israel, rather than a sign of weakness or halt in operations.
Dr. Hossein Reyouhran, an expert on Middle Eastern affairs, explains that the recent decline in the frequency of Iranian missile launches towards Israel is purely tactical and does not signify weakness. He emphasizes that Iran maintains a broad deployment of its missiles and is capable of escalation should its anti-missile systems dwindle within Israel. This understanding is critical as it reflects Iran's strategy of managing the warfare and military operations rather than pausing them altogether.
Reyouhran highlights that this reduction in missile activity does not indicate an end to hostilities but is part of Iran's broader strategy of war of attrition against regional and international powers. Concurrently, Iran continues to manufacture missiles while utilizing existing stocks, demonstrating a calculated approach to military engagement. The Israeli media, specifically Haaretz, estimates that the cost associated with intercepting each wave of Iranian missiles launched towards Israel could reach approximately one billion shekels (around 287 million dollars), showcasing the burden such interceptions place on Israel's defense budget.
Moreover, the Israeli government maintains strict secrecy regarding the military and strategic targets affected by Iranian strikes, disclosing information only related to civilian areas. Reyouhran also states that Iranian ground forces are fully prepared to respond to any potential incursions along the northern and northwestern borders, emphasizing that the Iranian border is a red line that should not be crossed. This situation underscores the ongoing tension and complexity in the region's security landscape, highlighting the intricate balancing act both Iran and Israel must navigate in their military strategies.