Mar 5 • 14:30 UTC 🌍 Africa Africanews

The sea is higher than we think: Millions more at risk of rising sea levels, researchers say

A new study reveals that millions more people may be at risk from rising sea levels due to underestimations of baseline coastal water heights by researchers and planners.

Climate change's impact on rising sea levels threatens to endanger tens of millions more individuals than previously believed, primarily due to significant underestimations in historical research. A new study published in the journal Nature highlights that around 90 percent of scientific studies and hazard assessments have miscalculated existing coastal water levels, averaging a discrepancy of one foot (30 centimeters) in height. This issue is notably more prevalent in developing regions, particularly in the Global South, as well as parts of the Pacific and Southeast Asia. The study's findings point to a critical methodological flaw in the way measurements of sea and land altitudes are conducted. According to Philip Minderhoud, a hydrogeology professor from Wageningen University & Research and co-author of the study, the discrepancy arises from a “methodological blind spot.” By measuring land and sea levels using differing methodologies, many researchers and planners inadvertently create gaps in the data that obscure true coastal vulnerability. Given the accelerating effects of climate change, these findings carry significant implications. As cities and communities around the world confront rising sea levels, the need for accurate data becomes increasingly crucial for effective planning and risk mitigation strategies. This new awareness may drive policy changes and increased funding for research in coastal regions, especially those most at risk, to address the challenges posed by climate change-induced sea level rise.

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