Iran's primary goal is survival amidst the threats posed by the overwhelming military might of the United States and Israel. To achieve this, Iranian leaders are looking to increase the costs of the ongoing conflict for President Trump, hoping that a rise in American casualties, energy costs, and inflation could compel him to declare victory and withdraw troops from the region. This strategy underscores a broader tactical shift, aiming to influence U.S. domestic considerations regarding its military presence in the Middle East.

Diplomats and analysts indicate that Iran is seeking to expand the battlefield from its own borders to a wider regional context. The Iranian regime is intentionally targeting the oil and gas infrastructure of neighboring countries, potentially closing the Strait of Hormuz to disrupt maritime transport and limiting air traffic. Such actions are aimed at destabilizing the economies of Gulf states, which could lead to a significant increase in global energy prices and contribute to inflation worldwide, thereby straining the resources and political climate in the United States.

Additionally, Iran also aims to deplete its adversaries' costly missile interception systems through strategic engagements. As Vali Nasr noted, the ongoing conflict has transformed into a test of will and endurance, suggesting that Iran is prepared to engage in an extended confrontation. Such a protracted conflict may lead to unpredictable repercussions not only for U.S. foreign policy but also for global markets, given the strategic importance of the Middle Eastern energy sector.