Pavel Pawluscha Novotný, a journalist and traveler, discusses the current situation in Iran, noting that Kurdish units are openly claiming that tensions may escalate in the region. These units, which previously fought against ISIS in Iraq, are now transitioning into Iran, signaling a potential shift in the conflict dynamics in the area. The ethnic diversity of Iran's population is a key factor in the country’s complex social and political landscape, which could contribute to future instability.

Novotný expresses uncertainty about the future of Iran, stating that the country may face either an explosion or implosion, but ultimately believes it will fracture. He indicates that foreign players with competing interests will further influence the situation in Iran. His perspective reflects a broader concern about how external forces might exacerbate internal divisions within the country, particularly against the backdrop of significant geopolitical tensions.

Highlighting the recent demise of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei during military strikes, Novotný emphasizes that while Khamenei was a vital symbolic leader for Iran, his ideas were becoming increasingly uncomfortable for the regime. According to him, the Iranian regime, which has already shown signs of instability, has strayed from the norms of the 21st century and thus merits the repercussions it is facing. He views the Israeli-American strikes as a justified moral action, given the regime's failure to adapt and reform in the face of current global standards.