Mar 3 • 15:00 UTC 🇨🇳 China South China Morning Post

How will China adjust Israel ties as US-led strikes on Iran reshape Middle East?

China is expected to maintain its balanced diplomatic approach in the Middle East despite recent escalations in US-Iran tensions and the assassination of Iran's supreme leader.

The recent escalation of US-led strikes on Iran, including the assassination of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, has sparked significant geopolitical tension in the Middle East. This situation arises after stalled nuclear negotiations between the US and Iran, prompting Tehran to retaliate with strikes against Israeli targets and US facilities in Gulf states. Analysts are observing how these events will influence China's diplomatic engagement in the region, particularly with Israel, amidst the growing instability.

Despite the escalating conflict, experts believe that China is unlikely to abandon its traditional stance of 'balanced diplomacy' in the Middle East which seeks to maintain relationships across divergent interests. According to Chen Guangmeng from Sichuan International Studies University, China might need to undertake a 'strategic rebalancing' to effectively navigate the shifting dynamics resulting from US actions. This could involve recalibrating its ties with both Iran and Israel while striving to maintain its influence in a region increasingly defined by turmoil and polarization.

As tensions continue to rise, China's approach will not only reflect its interests in regional stability but also its broader ambitions to position itself as a key player in Middle Eastern geopolitics. The unfolding situation poses significant diplomatic risks and requires careful assessment and response strategies from Beijing as it aims to safeguard its interests while fostering peace in a complicated milieu.

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