In Estonia, the government is preparing to issue a tender for new gas plants in the next two to three years, with an aim to increase reliable electrical capacity by 1000 megawatts over the next decade. However, the current economic analysis by Elering suggests that it remains cheaper to maintain existing oil shale power plants rather than invest in new gas facilities. While electricity consumption in Estonia is expected to rise annually, the aging oil shale plants, many dating back to Soviet times, are becoming less efficient.

The Estonian government recognizes the need to transition from these old plants within a decade as maintaining them will become increasingly expensive over time, especially as they become older and require more repairs. Karin Maria Lehtmets from the Ministry of Climate noted that although maintaining these plants is currently more cost-effective, this is not sustainable long-term. In a few years, the costs associated with keeping the aging Narva plants operational will rise significantly, pushing the necessity for the development of more modern energy production alternatives.

As Estonia plans for its energy future, balancing the immediate financial implications against long-term environmental and efficiency goals remains a critical challenge. The conversations around energy, particularly regarding fossil fuels such as oil shale, are becoming increasingly complex in the face of climate policy pressures. The government's strategy indicates a transitional phase where old systems are gradually replaced, highlighting the urgency of moving towards sustainable energy frameworks without compromising energy security and affordability.