The article examines the considerations surrounding a possible interest rate cut by the Polish Monetary Policy Council (RPP) in March 2026. It highlights strong support among economists for a reduction in rates, with a significant majority of economic experts predicting that the council will lower rates if there are no unforeseen external events. The perspective of Adam Glapiński, President of the National Bank of Poland (NBP), is particularly emphasized, noting that unless the March economic projections show concerning trends, the timing would be favorable for a rate cut.

Additionally, the article explores the specific influence of the situation in Iran on Polish economic policy, particularly how geopolitical dynamics could impact the council's decision-making. Economic data released prior to the council's meeting is also considered critical, as favorable indicators could strengthen the case for a rate reduction. The overall tone of commentary from RPP members is optimistic about the prospects of lowering interest rates, contributing to the economic debate in Poland.

The unity among economists regarding this forecast reflects a broader sentiment in the market that underscores the interconnectedness of local economic conditions and international events, such as developments in Iran. As Poland navigates these complex interdependencies, the council's decisions will be crucial in shaping the country’s economic landscape in the coming years.