Foreign policy experts: The Iranian regime is shaken, but ideologically too strong to fall
Experts suggest that while the Iranian regime is currently weakened, its ideological strength makes it resilient against collapse.
Foreign policy experts in Latvia have commented on the precarious state of Iran under President Donald Trump's administration, noting that the U.S. strikes against Iran are not clearly directed towards a specific goal. Gints Jegermanis, a guest lecturer at the University of Latvia and Riga Graduate School of Law, argues that Trump's desire for retribution against Iran for various perceived wrongdoings plays a significant role in the current tensions. He emphasizes the importance of understanding Trump's personality and motivations during this period of conflict.
Jegermanis points out that the timing of the attacks on Iran coincides with significant weakening of the Iranian regime, particularly following Israel's recent military actions that have successfully diminished Iran's influence and military capabilities in the region. The expert highlights that Israel has managed to weaken not just Iran but also its affiliated groups in neighboring countries, suggesting a calculated move to capitalize on Israel's recent successes and pressure the Iranian regime while it is vulnerable.
Finally, Jegermanis notes Trump's belief that he has the freedom to act decisively at this moment, suggesting that his confidence could lead to further escalations in U.S.-Iran relations. The overall analysis reflects a complex interplay of individual leadership styles, geopolitical considerations, and regional dynamics that shape international relations in this volatile context.