Toms Rātfelders, a researcher from the Latvian Institute of International Affairs, expressed skepticism about the potential for a quick regime change in Iran during an interview on TV3's show '900 Seconds'. He noted that the Iranian regime appears prepared for various scenarios, particularly concerning anticipated attacks from the U.S. and Israel. In this context, new power structures have been established to ensure a transition of power following the potential elimination of the current leader, enabling the continuity of state functions and military operations.

Rātfelders emphasized the considerable risks in the current geopolitical situation, particularly highlighting Iran's past attempts to engage in negotiations with Western powers that were thwarted by military interventions. This pattern raises concerns about the country's political stability and prospects for a peaceful resolution. He believes that the absence of a unifying leader within Iran who can galvanize opposition and coordinate a robust resistance further complicates the possibility of significant change in the near future.

Overall, Rātfelders’ analysis provides a sobering view of Iran’s internal dynamics and the external pressures it faces, questioning the prevailing assumptions about imminent regime change. His insights suggest that without a strong internal opposition and with ongoing external threats, the situation in Iran is likely to remain tense and unresolved for the foreseeable future.