Mar 2 • 05:03 UTC 🇦🇺 Australia ABC News AU

‘A tax on households’: Economists warn Middle East war to spike oil

Economists are warning that the ongoing conflict in the Middle East is likely to lead to a significant increase in oil prices, affecting Australian households' cost of living.

Economists are increasingly concerned that the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, particularly the strikes on Iran, will spike global oil prices, significantly impacting households across Australia. AMP chief economist Shane Oliver suggests that petrol prices could soar by up to 40 cents per litre, leading to an approximate $14 increase in weekly petrol expenditures for families. This possible spike comes amid forecasts of oil prices surpassing $US100 per barrel, which would add considerable financial strain on already struggling households due to rising cost-of-living pressures.

The market's response to these developments has been relatively subdued, with analysts indicating that the strikes may not lead to a prolonged escalation of the conflict. To this end, the local share market experienced a minor dip, around 0.2 percent, suggesting that investors are cautiously optimistic about the short-term outlook for oil prices. While energy and gold stocks saw some gains due to heightened demand amid the uncertainty, the general market reaction reflects a belief that any implications for oil supply may not be lasting.

However, the potential ramifications for consumer behavior and spending are significant, as increased petrol costs could exacerbate existing economic pressures faced by households, leading to tighter budgets and adjustments in spending habits. With the potential for a short-lived conflict, the long-term effects on the economy remain to be seen, but the immediate impacts are set to challenge Australian families financially at a time when many are already feeling the burden of inflated costs in various sectors.

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