Mar 1 • 15:00 UTC 🇨🇳 China South China Morning Post

Khamenei is dead. But China’s ties with Iran will endure. Here’s why

The death of Iranian supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has raised questions about future Iran-China relations amidst potential ideological shifts in Tehran.

The recent killing of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the Iranian supreme leader, has resulted in significant turmoil within Iran and prompts discussions about potential shifts in the country’s ideological stance toward the West following his death. Confirmed by Iran’s state media, Khamenei’s death marks the end of a nearly 40-year era of his leadership, creating uncertainty regarding the future governance and direction of the Islamic Republic. Analysts warn of a possible geopolitical shift in the Middle East, particularly if Iran turns its attention westward, which could destabilize the region further.

China has condemned the killing of Khamenei and expressed concern over the ensuing chaos in Tehran. However, despite the turbulence, experts believe that China's strategic interests in Iran, particularly as its largest oil purchaser and significant trade partner, will withstand any shifts in Iranian leadership. Beijing is anticipated to maintain its pragmatic approach towards Iran's next government, focusing on economic ties and energy security, which remain crucial for China's ambitions in the Middle East, irrespective of the political landscape.

As the situation evolves, the implications for China-Iran relations might be profound. If Iran chooses to align more closely with Western powers, it could present challenges for China's diplomatic and military objectives in the region. However, given its extensive economic and energy ties, analysts suggest that China will likely prioritize stability in its relationship with Iran, indicating a long-term strategy to safeguard its interests in the face of regional upheavals.

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