Mar 1 • 08:08 UTC 🇱🇻 Latvia LSM

Foreign Policy Expert: Iran is Closer to Regime Change After Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's Assassination

A foreign policy expert suggests that Iran is moving closer to a regime change following the potential assassination of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

The ongoing political situation in Iran appears to be shifting towards a potential regime change, as suggested by foreign policy expert Andžāns. He indicates that one possibility is the election of a new supreme political and religious leader, who would likely be chosen from Khamenei's several potential successors, thereby allowing the current regime to continue functioning similarly to how it has in the past. However, Andžāns believes that this scenario is highly unlikely since both Israel and the United States might attempt to eliminate any newly elected leader.

Another possibility that Andžāns discusses is the chance of an internal coup executed by forces like Iran's Revolutionary Guard or others that would aim to reform the regime from within. This scenario could ignite widespread protests and the takeover of state institutions by Iranian citizens, potentially involving Reza Pahlavi, the son of the last Shah of Iran who currently resides in the U.S. This internal upheaval could signify a significant shift in Iran's governance structure.

Lastly, the expert warns of the potential for civil war in Iran, similar to the conflicts seen in Libya, Iraq, and Afghanistan following foreign interventions. The mention of the likelihood of heightened violence indicates that the international community should remain vigilant over the developments in Iran, as the impending situations could lead to significant instability in the region.

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