The recent military operations initiated by the United States and Israel against Iran have drawn considerable attention from analysts in Russia, who are forecasting significant repercussions for regional and global stability. As military actions began on February 28, 2026, the commentary from Russian experts highlights the breadth of strategic implications involved, addressing not just the immediate military outcomes but also the potential for regime change in Iran. Fyodor Lukyanov, Editor-in-Chief of Russia in Global Affairs, interprets these moves as a declaration of war by Trump against the Iranian leadership, emphasizing the maximalist goals of the operation that could lead to dramatic shifts in power dynamics within the region.

Analysts warn that the military escalation could set a precedent for broader conflict, potentially drawing in multiple regional actors and exacerbating existing tensions. The discussion extends to considerations of oil market volatility and its implications for the global economy, hinting at the likelihood of retaliatory measures from Iran that could disrupt oil supplies. The geopolitical fallout could have profound effects, pushing countries within the region to recalibrate their positions, alliances, and military strategies in response to a rapidly changing landscape.

Furthermore, the analysis implies that this course of action by the US and Israel not only threatens to destabilize the Middle East but could also reshape international relations beyond the region, depending on how other global powers react. The ongoing crisis illustrates the risks of escalation and the complexity of global diplomacy, suggesting that experts will be closely monitoring the developments for signs of broader conflict on a scale not yet seen in prior confrontations.