In an interview, an expert discusses the complexity of US-Iran negotiations, suggesting that they might serve merely as a disguise for potential military actions rather than genuine diplomatic efforts. He highlights that Iran's response to threats has been substantial yet restrained, indicating that Tehran has not yet mobilized all its capabilities in response to escalating tensions with Washington and Tel Aviv.

The expert elaborates on Iran's strategic patience, emphasizing that Tehran is assessing whether a pathway for de-escalation might emerge or if the US and Israel will drive towards complete confrontation, which could threaten the regime's survival. In this high-stakes environment, he warns that Iran might resort to extreme measures, including potentially blocking crucial maritime routes if it feels cornered.

Looking ahead, he argues that a limited conflict scenario seems more plausible than an abrupt regime change in Iran. He draws attention to the implications of a complete destabilization of Iran on the Middle East's geopolitical landscape, reflecting on Israel's military readiness in comparison to prior engagements and questioning whether Iran anticipated the escalation despite ongoing diplomatic discussions in Geneva and potential continuations in Vienna.