Recent by-election results in Kenya have highlighted serious challenges for the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM), particularly as the party failed to secure any seats in critical contests that were previously dominated by them. The elections, held in November 2025, indicated a shift in the political landscape, raising concerns about the party's viability and internal stability. With ODM candidates finishing poorly in key areas, such as Kariobangi North and Narok Township, the outcomes suggest that the party is struggling to maintain its influence.

In Kariobangi North, ODM's candidate Michael Ouma Majua placed third with only 1,351 votes, while the Democracy for Citizens Party's David Wanyoike Warui secured victory with 2,282 votes. Similarly, in Narok Township, where ODM had a stronghold, a notable shift occurred when Douglas Twala Masikonde from the DCP won the seat with 6,007 votes, reinforcing the concern that ODM may be losing its grip on traditional support bases. These electoral defeats occur following the deaths of key ODM representatives, further complicating the party's recovery and landscape.

The ramifications of these by-election outcomes could be substantial for the ODM as it confronts both external competition and internal discontent. With the party unable to clinch any victories in districts it once dominated, questions regarding its leadership and future electoral strategy are becoming increasingly critical. As the political environment in Kenya continues to evolve, the ODM's next steps will be closely scrutinized, especially as it attempts to rebuild its reputation and electoral strength amidst growing scrutiny and fragmentation.