According to Rivo Uiboupin, a professor at Tallinn University of Technology, the Baltic Sea's ice conditions have rapidly changed, with the ice cover decreasing significantly from 180,000 square kilometers to 140,000 square kilometers. This change is attributed to recent weather patterns and the warming temperatures as the winter peak has passed. Furthermore, the professor notes that the long-term statistics of ice conditions indicate that the maximum ice extent is typically reached by the end of February in the Baltic Sea.

Looking forward, Uiboupin explains that while the Väinameri area forecast will remain iced over in the coming days, the ice in the Gulf of Riga and the Gulf of Finland is influenced by variable winds, causing it to shift. He highlights that new ice formation is unlikely given that we have already passed the peak of winter, and warmer weather is expected to contribute to further melting in vulnerable areas.

The unique meteorological conditions may also lead to the formation of a water layer on top of the ice. This scenario is accompanied by southwestern winds and an increase in water levels along the Estonian coast. The professor warns that exposed water may appear, which can be particularly concerning in areas like the recently closed Saaremaa-Hiiumaa ice road where open water is now just five kilometers away.