The PSOE in Andalusia is currently struggling as recent polls indicate a significant lead for the PP. Amidst expectations for political recovery with María Jesús Montero as the candidate, the PSOE has not seen the desired reactivation of its progressive electorate. Instead of gaining ground, the party's standings have lowered, with current projections showing it could secure only 24 to 27 seats, a decrease from the previous election results where they achieved 30.

Pedro Sánchez's decision to nominate Montero, who serves as the Minister of Finance and the first Vice President of the Government, was aimed at boosting the party's competitive edge against the opposition led by Juanma Moreno of the PP. However, recent survey results indicate a worrying decline in voter support for the PSOE, which is currently polling at 20.8%, only slightly ahead of Vox at 18% and significantly behind the PP, which is expected to secure around 40.4% of the votes.

The political climate in Andalusia is becoming increasingly precarious for the PSOE, struggling to regain confidence from voters. As the regional elections approach, the implications of these polling numbers raise concerns about the party's future and the potential for a new absolute majority for the PP, reflecting a broader trend of growing support for conservative factions in the region.