5 years and 1 election later, why China’s Myanmar dilemma still isn’t over
China continues to navigate its complex relationship with Myanmar amidst ongoing political turmoil and competition from other global powers.
This article discusses the enduring challenges faced by China in its relationship with Myanmar, particularly in light of the military coup that took place in February 2021. Following the coup, anti-coup protesters expressed their dissatisfaction with the Chinese government's ties to Myanmar's junta by targeting Chinese businesses in the country. Despite the initial support China showed for Myanmar's military government during the coup, it has become increasingly aware of the need to manage perceptions within Myanmar's society to protect its significant investments and interests in the region.
The geopolitical dynamics of the region have further complicated China's position, with other nations now vying for influence in Myanmar, particularly in the context of its rich resources and strategic location. The article highlights that while China prefers to maintain stable relations and has offered support to the Myanmar military, the realities on the ground—such as ongoing unrest and the resistance from various opposition groups—pose significant challenges to its strategies. Other countries, including the United States and members of ASEAN, are actively seeking to engage with Myanmar, intensifying the competition for influence in this critical Southeast Asian nation.
Ultimately, the article emphasizes that China's dilemma is rooted in balancing its economic interests and political alliances against the backdrop of increasing tensions and a shift in the regional power landscape. As global interest in Myanmar's resources grows, China must navigate this evolving scenario with caution to safeguard its long-term goals in the area.