Cuba is at risk of a humanitarian crisis and the collapse of its communist government as President Donald Trump threatens to deprive the island of vital fuel and financial resources. Diplomats in Havana, who requested anonymity due to fears of reprisals, have described a growing energy crisis that could escalate to a point where the country’s ports might come to a standstill, leading to severe food shortages. Evaluations obtained by Bloomberg indicate that Cuba is unprepared for the looming catastrophe, which could potentially result in the fall of the Cuban government.

European diplomats have voiced concerns that, following Venezuela's President Nicolas Maduro's capture by the Trump administration, Cuba might be the next domino to fall. Observations from these diplomats suggest that there is a readiness for governmental change among the Cuban population. Such shifts in power dynamics, particularly in relation to U.S. foreign policy towards the region, could significantly impact Cuba’s political landscape and its relationships with neighboring countries. The fear of a humanitarian crisis spurred by a breakdown in governance raises urgent questions about the future stability of the island.

The looming crisis underscores the potential consequences of U.S. sanctions and the broader geopolitical ramifications for Latin America. As the situation develops, it highlights the fragility of the Cuban regime in the face of external pressures and the extent to which interventions by foreign powers can lead to significant upheavals within nations. The outcome of this scenario will not only influence the lives of Cubans but could also reverberate throughout the region as it grapples with similar challenges in governance and economic stability.