Lithuanian analysts have assessed that since late January 2025, there has been no evidence of Ukrainian military presence in Pokrovsk, indicating a complete takeover by Russian forces. The last recorded sighting of Ukrainian troops in the city was on January 28, suggesting that the occupation may have been concluded recently. Despite this capture, the report points out that Russian forces have failed to capitalize on their control over Pokrovsk to achieve any significant operational success in the region.

The report highlights that the Russian attempts to seize Pokrovsk, which had a pre-war population of around 60,000 inhabitants, have been ongoing for nearly two years. The offensive started in February 2024, after Russian troops occupied Avdiivka, located about 39 km southeast of Pokrovsk. This ongoing assault reflects the prolonged military campaign by Russia in the Donetsk area, yet analysts argue that the complete occupation of remaining territories in the region is not guaranteed.

The situation in Pokrovsk serves as a critical example of the difficulties faced by the Russian military in achieving strategic objectives despite occupying various territories. The lack of effective operations following the capture may hinder Russia’s broader ambitions in Eastern Ukraine, suggesting a potential stalemate that could impact future military engagements in the region. Therefore, while the city may be under Russian control, the anticipated advancements following this control have not materialized, reflecting complexities in the conflict dynamics.