In the contested municipal elections in Menton, Alpes-Maritimes, a recent survey suggests that the Rassemblement National (RN) candidate, Alexandra Masson, is poised to win decisively. The poll shows Masson leading with 31% of voter intentions ahead of the first round, a significant margin over her closest contenders. Among the other candidates from the right, Louis Sarkozy, son of former President Nicolas Sarkozy, is struggling at just 16% of the vote alongside two other right-wing candidates, Sandra Paire and Florent Champion, who are polling at 17% and 15% respectively.

The political landscape in Menton is characterized by a strong showing from the RN, signaling a potential shift in local governance as traditional right-wing parties fail to consolidate their support. The fragmented nature of the right-wing vote, with multiple candidates unable to form a unified front against Masson, exacerbates the challenges they face in this electoral cycle. The involvement of Sarkozy, typically seen as a significant political figure, appears less influential against the current political tides favoring the RN.

The implications of this survey raise concerns for established political norms in the region, particularly as the RN continues to gain traction in areas previously dominated by center-right and conservative parties. Analysts are observing this trend closely, as it could reflect broader national sentiments affecting upcoming elections and the political future of the region. Should Masson secure a decisive victory, it would mark a noteworthy shift and could embolden the RN's positioning in future political contests across France.