In less than seven weeks before Hungary's parliamentary election, Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's national-conservative party, Fidesz, is experiencing a significant decline in voter support. A survey conducted by the Median research institute indicates that Fidesz is trailing behind the center-right party Tisza, led by opposition leader Péter Magyar. The gap has widened to eight percentage points among voters who have decided how they will vote on April 12, showing Fidesz at 35% and Tisza at 55%. When undecided voters are factored in, Fidesz's support drops to 31% while Tisza increases to 42%.

This downturn in support is particularly alarming for Orbán, who has been in power for 16 years and now faces the real possibility of not being re-elected. The implications of a potential shift in power could be far-reaching within the European Union (EU), especially considering Orbán's close alliance with US President Donald Trump and his role as a prominent critic of the EU. Currently, Orbán is blocking a significant 90 billion euro loan for Ukraine, and a change in leadership could alter Hungary's position in EU debates and decisions.

As the election date approaches, the challenges faced by Fidesz will be closely monitored both domestically and internationally. The results of this election could redefine Hungary's political landscape and its relations within the EU, positioning Orbán's legacy and future policies under intense scrutiny. The outcome may also reflect broader trends within Europe regarding populist and nationalist movements.