Trump is running out of tariff cards to play ahead of CUSMA review
Trump is facing limitations in his ability to impose tariffs following a Supreme Court ruling, prompting him to implement global tariffs under the Trade Act.
Trump's repeated attempts to impose tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act were curtailed by a recent Supreme Court decision, indicating a judiciary pushback against his tariff strategies. Despite this setback, Trump quickly retaliated by introducing a 10 percent global tariff in an effort to tackle ongoing balance-of-payments deficits, a move permitted under Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974. Unhappy with this lower rate, he further announced a plan to increase it to 15 percent, showcasing his steadfast commitment to tariffs as a tool for economic policy.
This latest tariff announcement comes at a critical time as the United States is undergoing a review of the Canada-United States-Mexico Agreement (CUSMA), a trade deal that has implications for not only U.S. trade policy but also international trade relations. As important goods that comply with CUSMA might escape heightened tariffs, the move raises questions about the effectiveness and future of U.S. tariffs in achieving desired economic outcomes. Critics argue that such tariffs could lead to retaliatory measures and exacerbate trade tensions with both Canada and Mexico, long-standing trading partners of the U.S.
The evolving U.S. trade strategy poses broader implications for international trade dynamics as countries navigate how to respond to Trump's tariff-centric policies. With the current global economic climate, as well as ongoing supply chain issues stemming from the pandemic, the long-term implications of Trump's tariffs could hinder economic recovery efforts. As Canada and Mexico adjust their trade strategies in response to U.S. policies, the coming months will be crucial in determining whether these tariffs bolster or further strain North American economic relations.