According to a survey conducted by Ranking dos Políticos, a significant majority of Brazilian parliamentarians believe that Congress will likely overturn President Lula's veto on a project concerning the reduction of sentences for individuals convicted in connection with the events of January 8, 2023. This poll included responses from 108 federal deputies across 18 parties and 30 senators from 12 different political parties, which were collected between January 28 and February 3. The margin of error for the survey is reported at 6.5 percentage points.

In the House of Representatives, 68.5% of deputies express confidence that the veto will be overturned, with 24.1% indicating that they believe the process may be relatively easy. Conversely, 30.5% of deputies think that the veto will be maintained, with 12% feeling that it may be easy and 18.5% anticipating difficulties in upholding it. The sentiment is similarly reflected in the Senate, where 60% predict the veto's overturn, while 33.3% expect its maintenance, with just 10% of that group believing it might be easy to uphold. A notable finding is that among the deputies in the House, a large proportion of left-wing members (85%) foresee the veto being rejected.

This survey highlights the intense political climate in Brazil regarding the January 8 incidents and reflects the divisions within Congress on how to approach the penalties for those involved in the unrest. As public opinion and political positions evolve, the outcome of this legislative decision could have significant implications for future governance and accountability concerning events that challenge democratic norms in Brazil.