Feb 25 • 09:45 UTC 🇵🇱 Poland Oko.press

Will the Right Win in 2027? Not Necessarily. In the Era of Triopoly, the Chances of Liberals and the Left are Growing

Polls suggest an uptick in anti-right sentiments in Poland, indicating challenges for the ruling Law and Justice Party (PiS) as support declines and new political configurations emerge.

Recent political dynamics in Poland indicate a significant shift in party support that may alter the landscape for the 2027 elections. The ruling party, Law and Justice (PiS), is reportedly losing ground faster than the rising right-wing coalition, Confederation. Current polls reflect a slight advantage for anti-right forces, marking a potential end to the right's dominance observed after the 2025 presidential elections. This indicates a political environment where sentiments against the right are recovering from a downturn following the defeat of candidate Rafał Trzaskowski.

The article emphasizes a structural shift from a traditional party duopoly of PiS and Civic Platform (KO) to a triopoly incorporating Confederation. This change is significant, as it suggests that the political landscape is becoming more competitive and may allow liberal and leftist parties to gain traction ahead of the next elections. Historical context is provided through a chart depicting Polish political attitudes from the early 2000s to the present, evidencing fluctuations in party support and forecasting changes leading up to the scheduled elections.

Moreover, the piece posits that while such polling data does not guarantee specific outcomes in the 2027 elections, the current trends suggest a more fragmented political scene. This presents a critical moment for parties on the left and center, as they might capitalize on the declining support for PiS and its affiliates, potentially reshaping the composition and dynamics of the Polish parliament in the coming years.

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