The Gorton and Denton byelection campaign has reached its final day, marked by the release of a new poll suggesting a highly competitive contest. The poll, conducted by Opinium for Byline Times and Forward Democracy, shows a virtual tie among the candidates, with the Green party and Labour at 28% and Reform UK at 27% of overall voter support. Those likely to vote display a slight preference for the Greens at 30%, with Labour and Reform UK both at 28%. This tight race underscores the unpredictability of constituency polling, especially as competing surveys indicate differing levels of support.

Recent polling has painted a picture of a dynamic electoral landscape, with the Greens gaining momentum. An earlier Omnisis poll noted the Greens at 33%, leading the pack over Reform UK and Labour. However, analysts caution about the volatility of such polls, emphasizing that many leads fall within the margin of error, which can significantly influence voter perception and turnout as election day approaches.

As the campaign wraps up, the potential outcomes remain tantalizingly uncertain, and all eyes will be on voter turnout and late campaign swings. With the stakes high for all involved parties, this byelection reflects broader trends in UK politics and could signal shifts in voter sentiment ahead of future national elections.