Feb 24 • 11:38 UTC 🇵🇱 Poland Rzeczpospolita

Is AI Eating Its Own Tail? IT Giants are Losing Billions

IBM's shares plummeted over 13% as a pivotal AI tool threatens its longstanding legacy COBOL systems.

On a dramatic Monday, IBM's stock fell by more than 13% following announcements regarding a groundbreaking AI tool from Anthropic, known as Claude Code. This tool staunchly challenges the foundations of IBM's operations, which have relied on servicing legacy systems predominantly developed to handle COBOL - a programming language that has been a staple in business data processing since the late 1950s. The news signifies a potential decline in demand for IBM's mainframe systems, which largely facilitate high-volume transaction processing, creating a ripple effect across the tech industry.

The significance of COBOL is immense; it underpins around 95% of transactions at ATMs across the US, thus rendering itself an essential candidate for modernization through cost-effective AI solutions. As industries increasingly seek efficiency, the introduction of Claude Code could catalyze a substantial transformation in how businesses operate, pushing them away from older legacy systems toward more advanced automation methodologies. This risk poses a threat to IBM's revenue sources, traditionally rooted in their mainframe services and COBOL-based processing systems.

The broader implications of the shift towards AI-driven development tools like Claude Code not only highlight the volatility within the IT sector but also suggest an urgent need for legacy companies to innovate or risk obsolescence. While AI offers unprecedented operational improvements, it also portrays a landscape where established giants like IBM may need to rethink their strategies to survive in a rapidly evolving technological environment. The situation thus represents a crucial turning point for both IBM and the entire IT infrastructure market, as they navigate the challenges of legacy technology versus cutting-edge innovation.

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