The relationship between Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump has deteriorated as Putin realizes that Trump's promises are unreliable and shift based on circumstances. Initially, Trump's praise for Putin and his ease in acknowledging Russian claims over Ukrainian territories suggested a possible rapprochement, especially after their summit in Anchorage. However, soon after this meeting, it became clear to Putin that Trump's alliances were more flexible than previously believed, indicated by Trump's subsequent demands for security guarantees from Europe.

Following the Anchorage summit, Trump's position shifted rapidly in response to the European leaders' visit to the White House, emphasizing military measures against potential Russian aggression. This change revealed to Putin that American foreign policy under Trump was subject to fluctuations, influenced by domestic and international pressures rather than a consistent approach. As a result, the foundation that made Putin feel more secure in the U.S.-Russia dynamic has eroded, leading him to reassess his strategies.

Ultimately, the evolving nature of Trump's foreign policy might challenge the longstanding geopolitical tensions between Russia and the West. Putin's realization that he cannot fully rely on Trump's promises complicates the trust-building necessary for any significant diplomatic resolutions, particularly regarding conflicts such as the ongoing situation in Ukraine. As the dynamics evolve, Putin must navigate a potentially more unpredictable U.S. leadership, which complicates his strategic planning vis-à-vis both the West and Ukraine.