The article marks the fourth anniversary of Russia's ongoing aggression against Ukraine, highlighting insights from diplomats and commentators on the geopolitical upheaval it has caused. A. Januška emphasizes that the prolonged conflict has reached a critical juncture, with military solutions becoming less clear, thereby placing more significance on economic resilience and political will in determining outcomes. He also notes that current dynamics suggest a shift in global governance rules that could echo for decades to come.

P. Vaitiekūnas, another signatory of the Independence Act and former ambassador to Ukraine, criticizes the return of Donald Trump to a position of power in the U.S., arguing that it undermined international agreements and the rules-based global order. However, he expresses optimism that, if resolved suitably, this conflict might invigorate Europe’s commitment to unity and strength in foreign policy. This perspective underscores the potential for long-term changes in how global leadership and alliances might evolve in response to ongoing conflicts.

The article articulates a complex geopolitical landscape where multiple factors are at play, including military, economic, and political dynamics. The commentary reflects a growing consensus on the need for resilience and adaptability in international relations, suggesting that the future post-war order may differ significantly from what was established post-World War II. The insights provided by these diplomats reveal the urgent need for strategic thinking in the face of evolving geopolitical challenges, particularly regarding Russia and its implications for Europe and beyond.