Ramūnas Vilpišauskas. Will Russia End Its War This Year?
The article reflects on the protracted nature of Russia's war against Ukraine and discusses the stalled peace efforts and the potential for a continued conflict with no clear end in sight.
The article delves into the ongoing situation of Russia's unprovoked war against Ukraine, which has now surpassed the duration of Nazi Germany's conflict with the Soviet Union. As Russia occupies a significant portion of Ukrainian territory, it has shifted its tactics to rocket and drone strikes aimed at Ukraine's critical infrastructure and civilian targets in an effort to compensate for its lack of progress on the battlefield. The war seems to have morphed into a prolonged stalemate, reflecting a severe humanitarian crisis and destruction within Ukraine.
The piece discusses the ineffectiveness of mediation attempts by Donald Trump and his appointed envoys, noting that a year has passed without any significant results. Various deadlines for resolving the conflict have come and gone, with the anticipated June deadline for this year likely to follow the same path. The persistent uncompromising stance of Russia in negotiations, along with their maximalist demands, has rendered any peace discussion impossible for both Ukraine and its supportive allies in Europe.
Finally, while Trump's diplomatic efforts may not have led to an end to hostilities, they have, in a way, completed Russia's international isolation and opened up a communication channel with the U.S. for potential business dealings in the future. This nuance indicates a complex interplay of diplomacy, international relations, and the entrenchment of war, showing that while there may be no immediate resolution in sight, possibilities for future engagements exist beneath the surface of ongoing tensions.