Bolsonarist leaders are viewing the current crisis between President Lula and Brazil's Supreme Federal Court (STF) as a significant opening for Senator Flávio Bolsonaro. This comes in light of recent tensions fueled by an investigation within the Federal Revenue Service, which has heightened distrust among the branches of government, particularly due to the alleged leaking of sensitive information concerning Minister Alexandre de Moraes and other STF members. The unfolding situation marks a departure from the close relationship that reportedly existed between Lula's administration and the STF, creating a new power dynamic, as Lula's frustrations with STF Minister Dias Toffoli grow over decisions he has made regarding the Banco Master case.

The sentiment among Flávio Bolsonaro's allies reflects a belief that the STF historically aligned with Lula's interests since the 2022 campaign, acting as a supportive force for his government. However, with the current tensions, they see an opportunity for greater communication and engagement with the STF as Brazil approaches the next electoral campaign. This shift is seen as potentially beneficial for continuing to elevate Flávio Bolsonaro's political prospects, especially given that two ministers appointed by former President Jair Bolsonaro, Nunes Marques and André Mendonça, remain influential within the court, offering a potential bridge for collaboration if the STF takes on a less combative stance towards the current government.

Overall, this evolving relationship between the STF and Brazilian political factions underscores the complexities of governing in Brazil, where judicial decisions can significantly impact political power plays. As tensions between these entities continue to unfold, the ramifications for the upcoming elections and broader political landscape are yet to be fully realized but are closely watched by both supporters and critics of the different factions involved.