The article discusses the dynamic landscape of the South Australian elections, particularly focusing on the rise of One Nation as a significant contender against the traditional major parties, Labor and Liberal. With polling indicating that One Nation is gaining traction and surpassing the Liberal Party in primary votes, both major parties are cautious about how to address this increasingly influential third party. Their strategies must adapt to counteract the emergence of One Nation, which some view as an unknown 'orange force' in the political scene.

Historical context is given by referencing the 2018 South Australian election, where the emergence of Nick Xenophon and his party, SA-Best, created similar concerns among the major parties. The dynamics surrounding Xenophon's candidacy serve as a cautionary tale for Labor and Liberal strategists as they monitor One Nation's trajectory. Analysts, like former ABC chief elections analyst Antony Green, draw comparisons between the two parties, raising questions about how effectively the established parties can challenge a populist movement that resonates with voters seeking alternatives to the status quo.

As the election approaches, the outcome of One Nation’s performance could have broader implications for the national landscape, as their success or failure in South Australia may serve as a barometer for the party's federally. National observers are likely watching closely, as this election might influence campaign strategies and voter sentiments in future contexts, particularly in light of rising interest in alternative political factions.