The Liberal party in Australia acknowledges its need for change to regain political power, yet its current strategy to adopt a more right-wing stance, echoing Trump-style nationalism and populism, may ultimately lead to its downfall. The party's leadership appears convinced that increasing division and xenophobia, similar to tactics employed by figures like Farage and parties such as One Nation, is the key to their survival. However, this approach could alienate urban voters, who are typically more progressive and multicultural in their values.

Historically, the Coalition has shown increasing alignment with One Nation, exemplified by preference deals and significant voting alignment in the Senate. This shift has gradually eroded the party's foundational values as it seeks to cater to a more extreme segment of its base. Veteran strategist Tony Barry criticizes this trend, pointing out that it prioritizes political survival over the broader good of a diverse Australian society and risks deepening social divisions.

Ultimately, the Liberal party's current trajectory raises important questions about its future and its ability to connect with the urban electorate. The shift towards a more right-wing, populist strategy, focused on fostering outrage and division, may not resonate with voters seeking a more inclusive and progressive approach to governance. As Australia deals with its multicultural identity, the party's reliance on fear-based politics may prove detrimental rather than advantageous in the long run.