A new study warns that climate change is increasingly putting pressure on Arabica coffee cultivation due to rising temperatures in coffee-producing countries.
A recent study by the non-profit organization Climate Central has highlighted the significant impacts of climate change on Arabica coffee production. The analysis shows that increased heat levels in tropical coffee-growing nations, particularly in the Coffee Belt that encompasses 25 countries, are leading to detrimental conditions for coffee crops. This has raised concerns about the quality, quantity, and price stability of coffee globally as the number of extremely hot days is on the rise.
The research focuses on the Coffee Belt, which produces around 97% of the world’s coffee. By comparing temperature data from 2021 to 2025 with hypothetical temperatures in a world devoid of human-induced greenhouse gas emissions, the study aims to quantify the additional heat stress that has occurred due to modern climate change. The findings suggest that the average increase includes dozens of extra hot days annually, directly affecting the crops and their viability in a warming climate.
The implications of this analysis are broad, as it not only threatens the livelihoods of coffee farmers but also raises alarm over global coffee supply chains. As temperatures continue to rise, the production of coffee, particularly Arabica, may become more inconsistent, leading to fluctuating prices in the market. This study serves as a call to action to address climate change's impact on agriculture, especially for crops that are critical to the economies of many countries within the Coffee Belt.
