Dollar and oil at their highest in months. Will the US-Iran conflict raise fuel prices?
Rising oil and dollar prices are attributed to geopolitical tensions, particularly a potential conflict between the US and Iran, which analysts warn could lead to significant increases in fuel costs in Poland.
The recent surge in oil prices and the dollar has generated various concerns and analyses regarding its implications for fuel prices. As of February 20, the price of Brent crude rose to nearly $72 per barrel, reflecting a 1.9% increase from the previous day and a significant jump of 6% from earlier in the week. Analysts caution that this uptick may not be temporary, highlighting the risk of further increases if tensions between the United States and Iran escalate, potentially pushing oil prices up by as much as $15 per barrel in the case of a US military strike on Iran.
Even if military hostilities are avoided, the likelihood of rising fuel prices at gas stations in Poland remains high, as producers and distributors typically respond swiftly to fluctuations in crude oil prices. The dynamics of oil pricing are further complicated by geopolitical factors and local market responses. With the ongoing conflict impacting global supply routes and the growing influence of political relationships, consumers in Poland may soon feel the consequences of these developments through increased costs at the pump.
Additionally, itβs worth noting the role of Russian energy companies offering assistance to Iran in addressing its enriched uranium issues. This interaction underscores the complexity of international relations, where energy supplies, geopolitical alliances, and regional stability intertwine. The potential for conflict in the Middle East could therefore not only affect market prices but also shape the geopolitical landscape for countries like Poland that rely on imported energy resources.