The CIS forecasts a close electoral contest between Spain's PP and PSOE in the upcoming elections in Castilla y León, with both parties receiving approximately a third of the votes.
The latest pre-electoral barometer from the Centro de Investigaciones Sociológicas (CIS) indicates that the Popular Party (PP) is projected to secure about 33.4% of the votes in the upcoming elections in Castilla y León, a slight increase from their performance in 2023. The Socialists (PSOE), while predicted to come in second, are expected to closely follow with 32.3% of the votes, suggesting a potential electoral tie. Both parties are vying for a significant number of seats, with estimates ranging from 28 to 38 for the PP and 26 to 35 for the PSOE.
In the context of these upcoming elections, the political landscape could shift notably, especially if the Socialist party manages to perform strongly and possibly equal the PP's vote percentage. The elections, scheduled for March 15, will determine 82 lawmakers for the regional parliament, with one additional seat being temporarily added due to a population increase in the province of Segovia. This election is particularly critical as it could reflect broader trends in national politics, especially given the current dynamics involving other parties such as Vox.
Meanwhile, Vox is expected to see a decline in support, projected to receive only 16.1% of votes, marking a drop from previous elections. This decline, alongside the close race between PP and PSOE, highlights the competitive atmosphere in Castilla y León's electoral politics, as multiple parties vie for political influence amidst shifting voter preferences.
