Feb 20 • 02:00 UTC 🇧🇷 Brazil Folha (PT)

Lula requested scenario analysis after Maduro's capture, and military listed air vulnerabilities

Brazil's President Lula is reassessing military strategies following Nicolas Maduro's capture by U.S. forces, highlighting Brazil's air defense weaknesses.

Brazil's President Lula is taking a proactive approach in response to the recent capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro by U.S. forces, prompting the Brazilian government to conduct extensive recalibrations of military routes and strategies. Lula expressed concerns regarding the American operation and requested an assessment from the Armed Forces regarding Brazil's vulnerabilities, particularly in air defense. This request marks a significant pivot in Brazil's defense planning, taking into account the evolving geopolitical landscape involving Venezuela.

During a meeting with military officials, Lula received detailed feedback on Brazil's defense capabilities, which revealed that the country lacks adequate air defense systems to effectively deter potential foreign actions. This acknowledgment of vulnerability is critical, especially in light of recent tensions surrounding Maduro's ambitions in the region. The Brazilian military has indicated that their current arsenal is insufficient for effective deterrence, prompting urgent discussions about upgrades and strategic enhancements.

The implications of Maduro's activities have been profound for Brazilian national security. The situation escalated towards the end of 2023 when Maduro appeared to assert ambitions over the disputed Essequibo region of Guyana, leading the Brazilian Armed Forces to mobilize aircraft, troops, armored vehicles, and missiles in response. Intelligence sectors in Brazil had already begun to consider the risks of a potential ground invasion of Guyana by Maduro, indicating a heightened state of alert and the necessity for strengthened defensive measures to protect Brazilian sovereignty and regional stability.

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