Feb 18 • 10:03 UTC 🇵🇱 Poland Rzeczpospolita

Jarosław Kaczyński on the 'German Boot'. Mirosław Oczkoś: This narrative is a repeat of the 2023 mistake

Mirosław Oczkoś discusses the complications of the SAFE program dispute for the ruling PiS party and the political maneuvering surrounding President Karol Nawrocki's expected actions regarding a related bill.

Mirosław Oczkoś, an observer of Polish politics, has expressed that the dispute over the EU's SAFE program is particularly challenging for the ruling Law and Justice Party (PiS). According to him, President Karol Nawrocki is unlikely to confront the government openly regarding this bill, suggesting instead that he will likely sign it and send it to the Constitutional Tribunal for further evaluation. Oczkoś indicates that this situation represents not just a disagreement over a specific piece of legislation but a delicate political dance aimed at navigating out of an awkward situation.

The dynamics around the SAFE program bill reveal a deeper struggle within the PiS party as they seek ways to address the political implications of the law. Oczkoś believes that the real contest is not so much focused on the contents of the SAFE legislation, but rather on finding a workaround that will allow the party to maintain its image while still moving forward with the EU initiative. As the government jostles for a favorable resolution, there is a clear urgency to resolve this internal conflict without losing face in front of the electorate.

Additionally, Oczkoś comments on the implications for the relationship between Polish conservatives and Donald Trump, describing it as increasingly risky. This observation highlights a growing concern about how international alliances are perceived domestically, particularly in light of upcoming political challenges and elections. The narrative suggests that while PiS attempts to align with figures like Trump, there may be unforeseen consequences that could backfire in the Polish political landscape.

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