Feb 17 • 10:48 UTC 🇲🇽 Mexico El Financiero (ES)

Reflections on the Growth of Our Country

The article discusses the upcoming announcement of Mexico's GDP growth estimate for Q4 2025 by INEGI, emphasizing industrial production and service activity as major contributors.

Next week, INEGI will announce its traditional estimate of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the fourth quarter of last year. Earlier in January, the agency's preliminary estimate showed an economic growth of 0.8% in Q4 2025 compared to the previous quarter and 1.6% compared to the same quarter in 2024. This growth was mainly driven by industrial production and service activities, both recording quarterly growth rates of 0.9%. The article aims to explore three specific topics regarding this growth: (1) whether the revised GDP (or 'traditional estimate') might differ from the published ('preliminary estimate'). Anecdotal evidence from various companies indicates a weak first half of the year followed by a much better second half, especially in the last quarter. This observation aligns with the preliminary GDP figures, suggesting potential reasons behind the variables in the estimates.

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