The Swedish military intelligence agency, Must, has released its annual overview detailing an increasing military threat from Russia towards Sweden. The report highlights that the possibility of a military attack by Russia exists at any given moment, with the capability continuing to grow month by month, a situation that is expected to remain stable regardless of possible changes in Russian leadership, including the potential death of President Vladimir Putin.

Must's assessment suggests that external threats to Sweden's security are projected to rise in several respects until 2030. The agency notes that the Russian leadership is likely to maintain its confrontational stance towards the West, particularly against European nations perceived as hostile, which includes Sweden. This state of affairs emphasizes the persistent tension in the region and indicates that Russia's military strategy will likely remain aggressive, complicating Sweden's security landscape.

Despite the escalating threats, Must points out that Russia faces significant challenges in its military buildup, primarily due to the ongoing war in Ukraine, which consumes substantial resources. This suggests that while Russia's intentions are aggressive, its capacity to execute extensive military operations may be hampered by these resource constraints. The broader implications for Swedish and European security are considerable, necessitating a proactive approach to defense and diplomatic engagement in the region.