Since the outbreak of war in Ukraine, French President Emmanuel Macron has sought to maintain a thin thread of communication with Moscow, facing significant criticism and accusations of political naivety or an attempt to broker peace without acknowledging reality. After two years of a war that has drained Ukraine and unsettled the European economy, questions loom over the future of U.S. security guarantees, prompting Macron to reignite discussions about establishing channels of dialogue with Russia and proposing 'rules for coexistence' after the war.

Macron's indications toward diplomatic openness with Moscow are part of a deeper internal struggle within Europe, between those who believe that political realism mandates dialogue with adversaries and those who worry that such an approach could lead to early concessions, potentially undermining Europe's negotiating position in any forthcoming settlement. During the Munich Security Conference, Macron emphasized that Europe would inevitably need to engage with Russia, stating that it is essential for Europe to determine coexistence rules with Russia should peace be established in Ukraine.

The implications of Macron's approach are significant, raising questions about how European unity may be impacted by differing views on engagement with Russia and the need for strategic negotiation in a post-war context. It hints at the complexities of international diplomacy in the current geopolitical landscape, reflecting an awareness of the delicate balance required between assertiveness in supporting Ukraine and openness towards potential reconciliation with Russia.