Egyptian national security and strategic research experts have recently outlined the 'red lines' that Egypt has established concerning Sudan. They have emphasized that Sudan's division would not be tolerated, nor would the establishment of parallel entities. Key priorities include safeguarding state institutions, particularly the national army, and preventing a collapse of the Sudanese state, which they argue could threaten Egypt's water security, lead to a massive influx of refugees, and exacerbate the spread of terrorism and organized crime.

The analysis follows statements made by Egyptian Foreign Minister Badr Abdel Atty, who reaffirmed Egypt's 'red lines' regarding Sudan, indicating that any breach would prompt a decisive and strong response from Egypt. The Minister specifically rejected any division of Sudan and objected to equating the Sudanese national army with 'illegitimate militias.' He also called for the withdrawal of all mercenaries from Sudan and the cessation of support for these militias and the flow of arms into the country.

According to the experts’ analysis, these warnings aim at various parties, particularly the Rapid Support Forces and their external backers in countries that provide financial, military, and logistical support or facilitate the transit of mercenaries and arms. The statements are also directed at the international community, particularly the Quad grouping, outlining Egypt's conditions and security concerns, highlighting the regional implications of the ongoing conflict, which has escalated since the outbreak of war in Sudan on April 15, 2023.